Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
Castellon2 - 1Real Oviedo
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Castellon and Real Oviedo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cacereno 2-3 Castellon
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Oviedo 2-0 Espanyol
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
41.18% ( 0.08) | 28.76% ( -0.1) | 30.05% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.18% ( 0.32) | 61.81% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% ( 0.24) | 81.6% ( -0.24) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( 0.2) | 29.53% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.25) | 65.55% ( -0.25) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.19) | 36.88% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.33% ( 0.19) | 73.67% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Castellon 41.18%
Real Oviedo 30.05%
Draw 28.76%
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.05% |
How you voted: Castellon vs Real Oviedo
Castellon
45.5%Draw
18.2%Real Oviedo
36.4%11
Form Guide
