MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:53:18| >> :600:331432:331432:
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Barcelona logo

Ceuta
0 - 5
Barcelona


Antonito (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (41'), Lewandowski (50', 90'), Fati (70'), Kessie (77')

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona record a 5-0 victory over third-tier side Ceuta to advance to the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Ceuta and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Ceuta and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Ceuta.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Ceuta.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ceuta 1-0 Elche
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 Barcelona
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 89.58%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 2.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.75%) and 0-4 (11.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.68%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
CeutaDrawBarcelona
2.57%7.85% (0.0029000000000003 0) 89.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 33.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.79%30.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.56% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.37% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.84% (0.0019 0)93.16% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)4.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.6%17.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Score Analysis
    Ceuta 2.57%
    Barcelona 89.57%
    Draw 7.85%
CeutaDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 2.57%
1-1 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.72%
2-2 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 7.85%
0-3 @ 14.57%
0-2 @ 13.75%
0-4 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-5 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 6.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.85%
1-4 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-6 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 3.13%
0-7 @ 1.77%
1-6 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 89.57%

How you voted: Ceuta vs Barcelona

Ceuta
21.7%
Barcelona
78.3%
23
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