Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antequera win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Ciudad Real had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antequera win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Ciudad Real win was 1-0 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antequera would win this match.