Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 82.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Extremadura 1924 had a probability of 6.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.88%) and 0-4 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Extremadura 1924 win it was 2-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.