Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melilla win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Naxara had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Naxara win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melilla would win this match.