MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 21:25:50| >> :600:132183:132183:
Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio de La Condomina

UCAM Murcia
0 - 0
Linares


Manuel Raigal (77')
FT
(aet)

Perejon (47'), Moreno (105'), Moreno (105')
Linares win 7-6 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between UCAM Murcia and Linares Deportivo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: UCAM Murcia 3-4 Deportivo
Wednesday, December 1 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Linares 0-5 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UCAM Murcia win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Linares Deportivo had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a UCAM Murcia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Linares Deportivo win it was 0-1 (5.71%).

Result
UCAM MurciaDrawLinares Deportivo
63.02% (0.297 0.3) 22.2% (-0.183 -0.18) 14.78% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.244 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (0.48399999999999 0.48)52.57% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (0.412 0.41)74.22% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
UCAM Murcia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.265 0.27)16.14% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (0.488 0.49)45.58% (-0.494 -0.49)
Linares Deportivo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64% (0.121 0.12)47.36% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (0.09 0.09)82.75% (-0.095999999999989 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    UCAM Murcia 63.01%
    Linares Deportivo 14.78%
    Draw 22.2%
UCAM MurciaDrawLinares Deportivo
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.033 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.78%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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