Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ursaria win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Cayon had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ursaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cayon win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.