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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
0 - 0
Nacional


Candelo (33'), Banguero (39'), Mosquera (46'), Barrera (63'), Perea (89')
FT

Laborda (40'), Piriz (59'), Trasante (62'), Bergessio (63'), Ocampo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawNacional
53.73%23.56%22.72%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17%46.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91%69.09%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65%17.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.25%47.75%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13%34.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 53.73%
    Nacional 22.72%
    Draw 23.55%
Atletico NacionalDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.72%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Nacional
4-4
Atletico Nacional
Bergessio (12', 51', 64'), Fernandez (45+4')
Martinez (17'), Cantera (90+4')
Corujo (42')
Barrera (8', 85'), Andrade (45+2'), Orihuela (74' og.)
Mosquera (44'), Duque (57'), Banguero (71'), Castro (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
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10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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