MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:50:30| >> :600:4604169:4604169:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
1 - 1
Colo-Colo

Carrizo (35')
Peralta (11'), De Jesus (57')
Benitez (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palacios (23' pen.)
Saldivia (17'), Cortes (89'), Benegas (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Colo-Colo

Both sides come into this match with good recent form, but the hosts have proven very difficult to beat on their home patch of late and are yet to concede at Estadio Ueno La Nueva Olla in this competition. We are expecting a very evenly contested matchup here and feel that the first goal will likely end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawColo-Colo
37.6% (-0.11 -0.11) 27.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 34.6% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.34% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (0.082999999999998 0.08)57.54% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67% (0.065999999999999 0.07)78.33% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)29.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)65.54% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.125 0.13)31.4% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.146 0.15)67.78% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 37.6%
    Colo-Colo 34.59%
    Draw 27.8%
Cerro PortenoDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.59%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Colo-Colo

Cerro Porteno
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Colo-Colo
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
1-0
Cerro Porteno
Cepeda (90+4')
Vidal (46'), Gil (90+7')

Peralta (21'), Gimenez (38'), Arzamendia (90+2'), Morel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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