Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.