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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Emelec
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio George Capwell

Emelec
7 - 0
Independiente Petrolero

Cabeza (16', 35'), Rodriguez (38', 77'), Cevallos (45+1'), Rojas (54'), Quiroga (75')
Carabali (45+3'), Arroyo (49'), Cabeza (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Emelec and Independiente Petrolero, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Independiente Petrolero

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Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Emelec 2-0 Independiente Petrolero

 If there was a team that Emelec would have wanted to play in their final match of the group stage, the Bolivians would likely be their first choice. We anticipate El Bombillo will be able to end their woes at home against a side with nothing to play for and a defence who have been far too easy to penetrate in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.

Result
EmelecDrawIndependiente Petrolero
48.36% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 22.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 28.71% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 62.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)38.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (0.048000000000002 0.05)61.04% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1%45.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Independiente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.058999999999997 0.06)25.88% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (0.076000000000001 0.08)60.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Emelec 48.36%
    Independiente Petrolero 28.72%
    Draw 22.92%
EmelecDrawIndependiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.36%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Emelec vs Independiente Petrolero

Emelec
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Independiente Petrolero
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 3am
Independiente Petrolero
1-1
Emelec
Cristaldo (88')
Quiroga (90+1')
Rodriguez (8'), Zapata (53')
rhs 2.0
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