MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 12:29:52| >> :60:86:86:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Internacional (Brasil)

Nacional
1 - 1
Internacional

Damiani (89')
Lozano (14'), Rochet (22'), Zabala (85'), Trezza (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patrick (63')
Zwarg (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, June 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, June 4 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Nacional 2-1 Internacional

 Despite their satisfactory record against Nacional, Internacional's plethora of absentees will have their Uruguayan hosts licking their lips at the prospect of revenge, especially with Gutierrez's side on top form in front of their own fans. Menezes's team have left a lot to be desired on the road too, so a shake-up in the standings should be in order this week, as Nacional take a giant step towards the knockout rounds while possibly dropping Internacional down to third spot with a hard-fought success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawInternacional
31.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.48%40.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 45.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85%35.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1%71.9% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.51% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.53% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 31.41%
    Internacional 40.09%
    Draw 28.47%
NacionalDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 31.41%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 40.09%

How you voted: Nacional vs Internacional

Nacional
60.7%
Draw
17.9%
Internacional
21.4%
28
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
Nacional
Mercado (11'), De Pena (83')
Zabala (38'), Noguera (90+1')
Jul 31, 2019 11.15pm
Second Stage
Internacional
2-0
Nacional
Moledo (16'), Guerrero (94')
Bruno (26'), Nonato (84')

Corujo (22'), Neves (91')
Jul 24, 2019 11.15pm
Round of 16
Nacional
0-1
Internacional

Neves (39'), Lorenzetti (64')
Guerrero (90')
Edenilson (31'), Uendel (69'), Guerrero (73')
rhs 2.0
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