Olimpia

3 - 1

Atletico Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.