Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Manuel Ferreira

Olimpia
2 - 0
Cesar Vallejo

(Olimpia win 3-0 on aggregate)

Paiva (34'), Cardozo (83')
Torres (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fleitas (41'), Figuera (90+2'), Quinteros (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Olimpia and Cesar Vallejo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Cesar Vallejo
45.35%	24.68%	29.97%

Both teams to score 56.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93%

46.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63%

68.37%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6%

20.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18%

52.82%

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27%

28.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44%

64.56%

Score Analysis

Olimpia 45.35%

Cesar Vallejo 29.97%

Draw 24.67%

Olimpia	Draw	Cesar Vallejo
1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.35%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.97%