Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras4 - 2Barcelona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Bolivar 1-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Palmeiras 3-1 Barcelona SC
Having lost convincingly in the reverse fixture, Barcelona are clear underdogs to get anything from this game. While we feel that their attacking approach could lead to a goal, it may only be a consolation with Palmeiras' superior quality expected to prove decisive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 78.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 7.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Barcelona SC |
78.46% ( 0.24) | 13.85% ( -0.12) | 7.69% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
