Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.