Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Deportes Tolima.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 35.7% . A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.85%) . The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (12.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.
Result Academia Puerto Cabello Draw Deportes Tolima 34.77% ( 0.16) 29.53% ( 0.02) 35.7% ( -0.18)
Both teams to score 43.38% ( -0.06)
36.38% ( -0.08) 63.61% ( 0.08)
17.09% ( -0.06) 82.91% ( 0.06)
Academia Puerto Cabello Goals
65.55% ( 0.07) 34.44% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.84% ( 0.07) 71.16% ( -0.07)
66.18% ( -0.16) 33.82% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.52% ( -0.18) 70.48% ( 0.18)
Academia Puerto Cabello 34.76%
Deportes Tolima 35.69%
Draw 29.53%
Academia Puerto Cabello Draw Deportes Tolima 1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.76% 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.53% 0-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.69%
rhs 2.0
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