We said: Atletico Junior 2-1 Union
The stakes could not be higher for Thursday's contest, with a place in the knockout rounds on the line, and with the visitors requiring a win to make it through they could leave space in behind as they push forward, which could play into the hands of Atletico Junior who we think will edge out Union.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.