Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.