Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.