Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 17, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Guabira4 - 1Nacional
Enrique Hurtado Badani (37'), Hoyos (74'), Peredo Ortiz (77'), Vogliotti (90+3')
Pascua (44'), Salvador Mercado Galvez (45+3'), Leanos (87')
Pascua (44'), Salvador Mercado Galvez (45+3'), Leanos (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sebastian Gularte Fros (26' pen.)
Oscar Anez Urachianta (18'), Edmundo Vaca Ortega (33'), Torrico (90+2')
Edmundo Vaca Ortega (64')
Oscar Anez Urachianta (18'), Edmundo Vaca Ortega (33'), Torrico (90+2')
Edmundo Vaca Ortega (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guabira and Nacional Potosi.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guabira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guabira | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
| 46.69% | 23.56% | 29.75% |
| Both teams to score 60.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
