Wilstermann

2 - 1

Municipal Vinto

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Municipal Vinto had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Municipal Vinto win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jorge Wilstermann would win this match.