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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 28, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
0 - 0
Aragua


Bernabei (29'), Morales (78'), Aude (80'), Burdisso (90+1')
FT

Rivillo (1'), Arias (63'), Farreras (66')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Aragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawAragua
55.5%21.14%23.36%
Both teams to score 63.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.99%35.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43%57%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33%12.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16%38.85%
Aragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22%27.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64%63.36%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 55.5%
    Aragua 23.36%
    Draw 21.14%
LanusDrawAragua
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 7.51%
1-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 6.63%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 4.24%
4-1 @ 3.42%
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.1%
4-3 @ 0.94%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 55.5%
1-1 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-1 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 23.36%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Aragua
0-1
Lanus
Manuel Lopez (89')
Sand (45+1'), Bernabei (45+2'), Arace (45+2'), Perez (67'), Perez (69')
Stephens (51')
rhs 2.0
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