Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Melgar
Melgar3 - 2Carlos Manucci
Arias (8'), Enrique Iberico Robalino (35'), Cuesta (61' pen.)
Angello Tandazo Silva (39'), Cuesta (42'), Mifflin (68')
Angello Tandazo Silva (84')
Angello Tandazo Silva (39'), Cuesta (42'), Mifflin (68')
Angello Tandazo Silva (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mifflin (15' og.), Carlos Fernandez (76')
Damian Godoy Silva (47'), Gabriel Garcia Uribe (70'), Josue Dioses Agurto (86')
Damian Godoy Silva (47'), Gabriel Garcia Uribe (70'), Josue Dioses Agurto (86')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Melgar and Carlos Manucci.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Carlos Manucci had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Carlos Manucci win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Carlos Manucci |
| 50.18% | 23.07% | 26.75% |
| Both teams to score 59.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
