Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cobresal had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cobresal win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Palestino in this match.