Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ayacucho had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Ayacucho win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.
0.2) 
-0.23) 
