Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Cristal2 - 1Arsenal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.43%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 41.1% | 22.24% | 36.66% |
| Both teams to score 68.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
