Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 10, 2023 at 2am UK
Universitario2 - 0Cienciano
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beltran (5'), Gonzalez (45+2'), Quintero Medina (65'), Ramirez (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universitario and Cienciano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 3 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 3 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.
Result | ||
Universitario | Draw | Cienciano |
52.47% ( 0.31) | 24.35% ( -0.08) | 23.18% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( 0.1) | 49.66% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( 0.09) | 71.68% ( -0.09) |
Universitario Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( 0.16) | 18.89% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.63% ( 0.27) | 50.37% ( -0.27) |
Cienciano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% ( -0.16) | 36.01% ( 0.16) |