Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.