Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.