Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%).