Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi
Carrarese2 - 1Catania
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Carrarese and Catania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Virtus Entella 0-0 Carrarese
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Catania had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Catania win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrarese | Draw | Catania |
49.86% ( 0.24) | 27.62% ( -0.29) | 22.51% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
