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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Monza

Cittadella
2 - 1
Monza

Okwonkwo (8'), Tounkara (40')
Cassandro (37'), Benedetti (80'), Tounkara (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Augusto (26')
Bellusci (18'), Caldirola (84')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cittadella and Monza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
CittadellaDrawMonza
39.45%27.48%33.07%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.44%56.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46%77.54%
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39%63.61%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08%31.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63%68.38%
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 39.45%
    Monza 33.06%
    Draw 27.48%
CittadellaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.45%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.06%

Head to Head
May 20, 2021 7.45pm
Monza
2-0
Cittadella
Balotelli (58'), D'Alessandro (78')
Pirola (33'), Sampirisi (39'), Barberis (82')

D'Urso (29'), Tsadjout (38'), Kastrati (69')
May 17, 2021 5.30pm
Cittadella
3-0
Monza
Baldini (13', 22', 85')
Branca (31'), Adorni (39'), Iori (45'), Proia (59')

Frattesi (15'), Diaw (51')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Monza
0-0
Cittadella
Ricci (30'), D'Alessandro (55')
Iori (32'), Cassandro (46'), Beretta (51'), Branca (89')
Oct 31, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Cittadella
1-2
Monza
Ghiringhelli (27')
Maniero (17'), Benedetti (28'), Pavan (72')
Boateng (10' pen.), Gytkjaer (18' pen.)
Boateng (75')
rhs 2.0
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