Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Parma 2-0 Reggina
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 0-2 Ascoli
Saturday, October 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Parma 1-2 Bari
Like the first league game of the season, we would expect this to be a close game, with fine margins between the two sides. However, with the injuries on the Parma side, the slight edge could go to Bari. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Bari had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Parma in this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Bari |
44.84% ( 0.08) | 26.59% ( -0) | 28.56% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
