We said: Sassuolo 2-0 Cagliari
With greater firepower and home advantage in their favour, Sassuolo should progress to the final eight and continue their pursuit of some rare silverware.
Even if the hosts decide to field an unfamiliar first XI, Cagliari are notoriously bad travellers and will inevitably be caught out defensively at some stage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
