Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win with a probability of 60.29%. A win for Biars-Bretenoux had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Biars-Bretenoux win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espaly-Saint-Marcel would win this match.