Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boulogne win with a probability of 74%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Houilles had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boulogne win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.56%) and 0-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Houilles win it was 1-0 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boulogne would win this match.