We said: Lens 1-1 Monaco (Monaco to win on penalties)
This tie is a tough one to call with both teams in mixed form and inseparable in the Ligue 1 standings. We can see it going all the way to penalties and are backing Monaco to come out on top in a shootout, thanks in part to Wissam Ben Yedder's expertise from the spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 35.62% | 25.59% | 38.78% |
| Both teams to score 55.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% | 48.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% | 70.57% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% | 26.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.93% | 59.06% |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 35.62%
Monaco 38.78%
Draw 25.59%
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.78% |
How you voted: Lens vs Monaco
Lens
36.1%Draw
30.1%Monaco
33.7%83
