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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Monaco

Lens
2 - 4
Monaco

Said (45'), Kalimuendo (53')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ben Yedder (18', 88'), Lucas (27'), Diop (29')
Golovin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lens 1-1 Monaco (Monaco to win on penalties)

This tie is a tough one to call with both teams in mixed form and inseparable in the Ligue 1 standings. We can see it going all the way to penalties and are backing Monaco to come out on top in a shootout, thanks in part to Wissam Ben Yedder's expertise from the spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMonaco
35.62%25.59%38.78%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56%48.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42%70.57%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53%61.47%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.06%
Score Analysis
    Lens 35.62%
    Monaco 38.78%
    Draw 25.59%
LensDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.78%

How you voted: Lens vs Monaco

Lens
36.1%
Draw
30.1%
Monaco
33.7%
83
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Monaco
0-2
Lens

Kovac (57'), Pavlovic (83')
Golovin (86')
Ganago (51'), Banza (90+3')
Leca (61')
Doucoure (61')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lens
0-0
Monaco
Medina (74'), Clauss (82'), Cahuzac (82')
Volland (82'), Maripan (85')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
0-3
Lens

Pellegri (76'), Aguilar (89')
Disasi (23')
Sylla (1'), Banza (33'), Kakuta (39')
Gradit (9'), Doucoure (11'), Banza (30'), Mauricio (80')
Dec 2, 2014 8pm
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton225891928-923
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
18Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2313191653-376


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