We said: Lyon 0-0 Grenoble (Lyon advances on penalties)
If Lacazette is unavailable, Grenoble might have an easier time containing the Lyon attack. However, the experience of OL in these big matches has us leaning towards them to keep their cool in pressure situations and eventually prevail.
As good as this run has been for Grenoble, they have not faced a side who are at the level of Olympique Lyonnais, so despite how well organised they have been defensively, we do not expect them to create many chances in possession.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.