Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Horsens win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Hobro had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Horsens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hobro win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Horsens would win this match.