Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Hobro had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Hobro win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Randers would win this match.