Nordsjaelland3 - 1Brondby
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, July 31 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
We said: Nordsjaelland 3-1 Brondby
Nordsjaelland have made a fast start to the 2023-24 season, scoring seven goals across their opening two games to pick up maximum points. Having won their last two home fixtures against Brondby, we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage once again to claim all three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Brondby had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Brondby win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Nordsjaelland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nordsjaelland.
Result | ||
Nordsjaelland | Draw | Brondby |
46.22% ( -0.55) | 25.51% ( 0.17) | 28.27% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.47% ( -0.48) | 50.53% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.55% ( -0.43) | 72.45% ( 0.43) |
Nordsjaelland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( -0.44) | 21.85% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.91% ( -0.68) | 55.09% ( 0.69) |
Brondby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% ( 0.04) | 32.24% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( 0.04) | 68.74% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Nordsjaelland | Draw | Brondby |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Copenhagen | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 33 |
2 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
3 | RandersRanders | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 30 |
4 | AarhusAarhus | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 28 |
5 | Brondby | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 27 |
6 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 26 |
7 | Nordsjaelland | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Viborg FFViborg | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Aalborg BKAaB | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
10 | SonderjyskESonderjyskE | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 16 |
11 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 10 |
12 | Vejle | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 6 |
> Danish Superliga Full Table |