Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 1860 Munich win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a 1860 Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that 1860 Munich would win this match.