MX23RW : Monday, February 3 17:01:31| >> :120:65949:65949:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 7, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Bayreuth
3 - 6
Arminia Bielefeld

Knezevic (14'), Maderer (52'), Nilsson (68' og.)
Weber (4'), Weimar (90+1'), Weber (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laursen (11'), Klos (28'), Lasme (51', 85'), Nilsson (73'), Kunze (79')
Laursen (67'), Pieper (78'), Klos (90+1')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Bayreuth and Arminia Bielefeld.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bayreuth had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bayreuth win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
BayreuthDrawArminia Bielefeld
18.02%19.99%61.99%
Both teams to score 58.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.78%37.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57%59.43%
Bayreuth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66%34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32%70.68%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45%11.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.52%36.48%
Score Analysis
    Bayreuth 18.02%
    Arminia Bielefeld 61.99%
    Draw 19.99%
BayreuthDrawArminia Bielefeld
2-1 @ 4.93%
1-0 @ 4.24%
2-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-1 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 18.02%
1-1 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 5.32%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.99%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.15%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-3 @ 7.1%
0-3 @ 6.58%
1-4 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-4 @ 3.55%
2-4 @ 2.07%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 61.99%

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