MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 09:33:16| >> :600:3709273:3709273:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Mainz logo

Elversberg
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Schnellbacher (73', 110')
Conrad (46'), Fellhauer (86')
FT
(aet)
Burkardt (89', 116')
Niakhate (69'), Kohr (118')
Mainz win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and Mainz 05.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).

Result
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
32.68%23.27%44.06%
Both teams to score 63.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44%60.56%
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77%23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86%57.14%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21%17.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49%48.51%
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 32.68%
    Mainz 05 44.06%
    Draw 23.26%
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 5.17%
2-3 @ 3.78%
0-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 44.06%

rhs 2.0
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4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
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7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
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11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
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20Southampton2013161244-326


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