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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion der Freundschaft
Paderborn logo

Energie Cottbus
0 - 7
SC Paderborn


Hofmann (27'), Pelivan (32'), Dovn Ndualu (38')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pelivan (3' og.), Musliu (11'), Bilbija (20', 51'), Muslija (64'), Klaas (83'), Hansen (85')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Energie Cottbus and SC Paderborn.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-2 Werder Bremen
Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-1 Osnabruck
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
Energie CottbusDrawSC Paderborn
19.13% (-0.118 -0.12) 20.29% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 60.57% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 59.44% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)36.8% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (0.040000000000006 0.04)58.97% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Energie Cottbus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.11 -0.11)69.14% (0.102 0.1)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (0.051999999999992 0.05)11.8% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.96% (0.117 0.12)37.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Energie Cottbus 19.13%
    SC Paderborn 60.57%
    Draw 20.29%
Energie CottbusDrawSC Paderborn
2-1 @ 5.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 7.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.26% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.75% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.34% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 60.57%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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