MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 02:26:14| >> :600:2387651:2387651:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Erzgebirgsstadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Clausen (8')
Hoffmann (45+4'), Jakob (51'), Mannel (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Honorat (35'), Netz (52'), Plea (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Erzgebirge Aue

All competitions
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Carl Zeiss
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 1-4 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Although Borussia Monchengladbach were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal last term by a 3. Liga side, it is difficult to see it happening for a second consecutive season. Given the gap in quality between the teams, it would not be surprising if the visitors comfortably won on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
22.47% (-0.747 -0.75) 19.02% (-0.296 -0.3) 58.51% (1.044 1.04)
Both teams to score 70.09% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.45% (0.544 0.54)25.55% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.37% (0.7 0.7)45.63% (-0.697 -0.7)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.218 -0.22)23.05% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.318 -0.32)56.87% (0.321 0.32)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08% (0.40599999999999 0.41)8.92% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.52% (0.96499999999999 0.96)30.48% (-0.963 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 22.47%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 58.51%
    Draw 19.02%
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 3.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.21% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.47%
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.02%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 5.21% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-4 @ 4.29% (0.138 0.14)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.92% (0.113 0.11)
1-5 @ 2.07% (0.103 0.1)
3-4 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.52% (0.067 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 58.51%

How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia M'bach

Erzgebirge Aue
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!