MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:23:02| >> :600:706689:706689:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Erzgebirgsstadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Clausen (8')
Hoffmann (45+4'), Jakob (51'), Mannel (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Honorat (35'), Netz (52'), Plea (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Erzgebirge Aue

All competitions
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Carl Zeiss
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 1-4 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Although Borussia Monchengladbach were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal last term by a 3. Liga side, it is difficult to see it happening for a second consecutive season. Given the gap in quality between the teams, it would not be surprising if the visitors comfortably won on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
22.47% (-0.747 -0.75) 19.02% (-0.296 -0.3) 58.51% (1.044 1.04)
Both teams to score 70.09% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.45% (0.544 0.54)25.55% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.37% (0.7 0.7)45.63% (-0.697 -0.7)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.218 -0.22)23.05% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.318 -0.32)56.87% (0.321 0.32)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08% (0.40599999999999 0.41)8.92% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.52% (0.96499999999999 0.96)30.48% (-0.963 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 22.47%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 58.51%
    Draw 19.02%
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 3.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.21% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.47%
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.02%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 5.21% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-4 @ 4.29% (0.138 0.14)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.92% (0.113 0.11)
1-5 @ 2.07% (0.103 0.1)
3-4 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.52% (0.067 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 58.51%

How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia M'bach

Erzgebirge Aue
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!