MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 19:46:35| >> :600:1845271:1845271:
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Waldstadion Homburg

FC 08 Homburg
1 - 4
St Pauli

Mendler (28')
Eisele (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wahl (24'), Saad (64'), Hartel (69'), Eggestein (73')
Smith (27'), Ritzka (42'), Saad (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between FC 08 Homburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Pauli 2-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, December 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: FC 08 Homburg 1-2 St Pauli

Homburg have already shown this season that they have the players capable of troubling sides in the top two divisions. As a result, we expect the fourth-tier outfit to put up another strong showing, but we believe that St Pauli's extra quality will be pivotal in the end, which is why we think that they will do enough to squeeze through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
FC 08 HomburgDrawSt Pauli
9.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 14.72% (0.032 0.03) 75.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.31% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)30.69% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.98% (-0.169 -0.17)52.01% (0.166 0.17)
FC 08 Homburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)41.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)77.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)6.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.89% (-0.107 -0.11)25.1% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    FC 08 Homburg 9.93%
    St Pauli 75.34%
    Draw 14.72%
FC 08 HomburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 2.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.93%
1-1 @ 6.69% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.72%
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 8.05% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 5.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75.34%

How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs St Pauli

FC 08 Homburg
13.9%
Draw
8.3%
St Pauli
77.8%
36
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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