Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Havelse had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Havelse win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.