Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%).